Let's whisper this blog back to life.
I began a tradition of making January predictions - and looking back to see how inaccurate the past year's predictions were (which if nothing else disqualifies me from the ranks of the proper punditariat).
Shall we see how I did?
Here were my 9 predictions for 2016:
- 2016 comes in at the second hottest year on record, just behind 2015.
- Clinton / O'Malley handily defeats Trump / Rubio in the presidential election, despite months of breathless concern trolling on the part of the punditocracy.
- Obama ushers out his presidency with an unprecedented number of blanket pardons for non-violent drug offenders.
- A cultural panic ensues when a US community outlaws the playing of football for youths under the age of 18. The state legislature quickly repeals the law.
- As Iranian oil comes to market OPEC finally ratchets down production to keep oil in the $30-50 range for most of the year.
- Domestic terrorism - especially against Blacks, Muslims and liberals - will claim more American lives than Daesh, Al-Quaida and their ilk combined.
- Vladimir Putin will survive an assassination attempt.
- Internet advertising will be exposed as utterly ineffective, and the business model for internet content suppliers begins to collapse in earnest.
- Because representational democracy has gone off the rails at the federal level there are a number of things that won't change:
- Americans won't take back their democracy from the wealthy interests that have hijacked it; and corporations will continue to write regulations to suit themselves.
- Assault weapons will remain legal despite more mass shootings.
- Militarization of police forces, systematic use of homicide and excessive force, as well as officers' de facto immunity from prosecution will continue unabated despite the mounting financial and social costs.
- We will not develop a constructive or effective plan for dealing with Islamic fundamentalism.
Interestingly, faith in Progress turned out to be one of the year's biggest casualties. Certainly among liberals, the ascension of Trump (and the murder of radicals cawing around his impending presidency) have been a bucket of cold water thrown on progressive assumptions about where this civilization was going. The Trumpenproletariat, of course, had already seen Progress go off the rails as far as they were concerned.
The hive mind has become more consciously aware that something is amiss.